Posts Tagged ‘Zell’

Home Purchases Rise, Home Prices Still Falling

Monday, August 25th, 2008

Billionaire Sam Zell made an interesting housing market prediction last week, saying that he expected home prices to bottom-out at the end of March 2009, but some economists believe otherwise. One such economist, Michelle Meyer with the Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in New York, does not feel so confident that housing market prices will stop falling by the end of 2009’s first quarter. Instead, she predicts that it will not fully bottom-out until the end of 2009 itself. Why might some economists feel this way? Despite the fact that home buying across the U.S. has lately risen, the number of available properties on the market continues to climb.

Bloomberg.com’s Shobhana Chandra provides the full story:

“Aug. 25 (Bloomberg) — Sales of previously owned homes in the U.S. rose 3.1 percent in July, a gain that masked further housing weakness as inventories of unsold properties increased.

“Resales advanced more than forecast to an annual rate of 5 million, with at least one-third of the purchases coming from foreclosed properties, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington. At the same time, the median price dropped 7.1 percent from July 2007, and the number of homes for sale jumped to a record.

“Sales averaged a pace of 4.95 million the past three months, the same rate as the previous period, indicating that purchases may have touched a bottom. At the same time, the glut of houses for sale means property values will probably keep dropping, putting pressure on household wealth and consumer spending.

“‘Existing home sales have likely stabilized,’ Michelle Meyer, an economist at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in New York, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television. ‘In terms of demand, we’re probably close to the bottom. In terms of prices, we don’t think we’ll see a bottom until the end of next year.’”

Read the full article, “U.S. Economy: Home Resales Rose More Than Forecast.” Copyright 2008 Bloomberg.com

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Real Estate Prices may Bottom-Out Soon

Thursday, August 21st, 2008

Seasoned foreclosure and real estate investor (and billionaire) Sam Zell predicts that the Single-Family real estate prices will have fallen as low as they can go by the end of Q1, 2009.

In addition to his prediction, Mr. Zell reminded Bloomberg television viewers in an interview on “Fannie, Freddie & Sub-Prime Crisis,” that even as foreclosures are on the rise and housing prices drop, there is a light at the end of the tunnel. What could possibly be so great about the current market slump, you might ask? Mr. Zell pointed out the correlation between housing price drops and housing affordability; as housing prices go down, the pool of people who can afford to buy real estate expands. That being said, Mr. Zell is not currently investing in real estate, claiming that he cannot impact that market enough to see a large return; he believes the current real estate market is “fairly priced.”

“Aug. 21 (Bloomberg) — Billionaire Sam Zell said the housing market could start recovering as early as next year and he’s focusing on investing in debt rather than equity.

“‘We believe that the opportunities, particularly in difficult situations, are in the debt,’ said Zell, who made his fortune building the largest publicly traded office and apartment companies in the U.S. ‘We have been focused on, not only in real estate but in corporate, identifying debt situations where it is trading at a discount.”

“Early next year the U.S. may see the bottom of the single- family housing market, Zell, 66, said in an interview today with Bloomberg Television. ‘I think it will be relatively fragile as confidence builds and it will take probably another year for confidence to be completely returned.’

“Zell is focusing on debt as the real estate recession deepens. Existing U.S. home sales fell to a 10-year low in the second quarter and the median price for a single-family house dropped 7.6 percent. Record foreclosures have brought on more than $505 billion in capital losses and asset writedowns worldwide and companies that lent money to homeowners and repackaged the debt into securities saw those businesses falter.”

Read the full article, “Zell Focusing on Debt Investing While Awaiting Housing Rebound” by Sharon L. Lynch and Greg Miles, Copyright 2008 Bloomberg.com

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